Insights
Research notes from the desk: stock research, backtests, and the AI tooling we actually run.
AI / tech relative valuation desk
Public snapshot of trailing and forward PE versus each name's own history, plus PEG, growth, Street targets, and limited DCF reads for a general AI/tech universe. Not investment advice.
marketsResearchvaluationRead noteAI daily digest — 2026-10-27 (GPT-6.1 Terra and Anthropic S-1)
Community digest from public X: OpenAI GPT-6.1 Terra for computer use, Anthropic S-1 filing details as relayed on X, plus research and industry notes. Not investment advice.
AIxdigestRead noteMarket sentiment digest — 2026-10-27 (Anthropic S-1, Fed week, credit)
Public tape and news digest into Fed day and Big Tech prints: Anthropic S-1 and chip financing, AI CapEx payback doubts, and widening credit spreads. Community synthesis of public sources. Not investment advice.
marketsResearchdigestRead noteEarnings desk #1: AI names on the week-of blotter
What we are watching into MSFT, GOOGL, NOW, VRT, and AMZN this week — and what would prove the note wrong. A watchlist, not a ticket.
EarningsResearchRead noteMETA Q3 2026: the ads machine still works — now underwrite Muse, Class C, and the settlement
A skeptical read of Meta's Q3 print and earnings call: 26% revenue growth against a halved operating margin, Muse unit economics still unproven at scale, Class C as a capital tool, and legal overhang that is not closed.
EarningsmetaAIRead note- Not investment advice
NVDA desk note follow-up: still pre-print
Confirming or retiring the 10/24 watching items into the Nov 17 print. Earnings are not out. A watch item update, not a ticket.
StocksResearchRead note Walk-forward case study: a simple momentum rule (framework only)
Hypothesis, purge design, cost stress, and falsification for a toy momentum book — results marked TBD until an authorized run lands.
BacktestingResearchRead note- Not investment advice
Daily desk note: NVDA is the name on the blotter
What the tape, the implied move, and a few operator chats are saying into the print. A watch item, not a ticket.
StocksResearchRead note Walk-forward is the report. The equity curve is the trailer.
The bar a strategy note has to clear before it leaves the lab: purged walk-forward, cost stress, and a written invalidation.
BacktestingResearchRead noteClaude, Codex, and the research loop we actually run
Where model calls sit on the desk: long-context reading, code diffs, and the steps we refuse to automate.
AIToolsRead note